Which Hurricane Model Should You Trust?
Posted: 2:25 PM EDT on August 21, 2014
In 2013 the official NHC forecast for Atlantic storms was better than any individual computer models at most forecast time periods, although NOAA's HWRF model did slightly better than the NHC official forecast for 5-day forecasts. Once again, the European Center (ECMWF) and GFS models were the top performers, when summing up all track forecasts made for all Atlantic named storms.
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On this date in 1999, Hurricane Bret hit south Texas with 140 mph winds and a 15 foot storm surge. While Corpus Christi and Brownsville missed the storm's full force, some areas received more than 30 inches of rain.
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