Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas 
320 am CDT Thursday Jun 20 2013 


Short term...today through Monday 


Middle to high level clouds were drifting into Arkansas from the 
west...resulting in partly cloudy skies across the County Warning Area. Regional 
radar imagery showed no precipitation across and in vicinity of the state 
this morning...with temperatures across the County Warning Area in the upper 60s to low 
70s. Could see some patchy fog through sunrise before dissipating 
shortly thereafter. 


Precipitation chances will remain fairly limited through this afternoon once 
again. Some isolated rain showers/thunderstorms and rain will be possible however...with best 
chances across the far north and northwestern counties as a weak disturbance 
aloft moves east just north of the state. Upper ridge axis just to 
the west will gradually shift east...with the upper ridge expanding 
more into Arkansas by Friday. As this happens...precipitation chances will be 
limited...and generally in the form of diurnally driven afternoon 
isolated shra/tsra. Highs through Friday will be in the upper 80s to 
middle 90s...with morning lows in the middle 60s to low 70s. 


Over the weekend...weak upper disturbance will retrograde back northwest 
after wobbling over the southeastern Continental U.S.. as this happens...some increased 
potential for precipitation will exist across the east and southeastern counties by 
late in the weekend. However...will keep probability of precipitation only slight chance for 
Sun afternoon once again as there remains uncertainty on how far northwest 
this weak upper disturbance will move...and how much influence it 
will have at that time. 


&& 


Long term...Monday through Wednesday 


Little change in the overall weather pattern is expected through the period. High pressure 
aloft will result in a typical summertime pattern across the middle south. 
Isolated rain showers/thunderstorms and rain will be possible...mainly during the afternoon and early 
evening hours. However...due to the limited coverage expected...dry 
conds will continue to be indicated. Went with persistence regarding temperatures 
through the period. Highs will be in the upper 80s to middle 90s...with nighttime 
lows in the upper 60s to middle 70s. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Batesville Arkansas 91 70 91 71 / 20 20 20 10 
Camden Arkansas 93 71 94 72 / 20 20 20 10 
Harrison Arkansas 88 67 90 68 / 20 20 20 10 
Hot Springs Arkansas 91 72 92 72 / 20 20 20 10 
Little Rock Arkansas 92 72 93 72 / 20 20 20 10 
Monticello Arkansas 92 71 94 72 / 10 10 20 10 
Mount Ida Arkansas 91 70 91 71 / 20 20 20 10 
Mountain Home Arkansas 89 69 90 70 / 20 20 20 10 
Newport Arkansas 91 71 92 71 / 20 20 20 10 
Pine Bluff Arkansas 92 71 93 72 / 20 20 20 10 
Russellville Arkansas 91 70 91 71 / 20 20 20 10 
Searcy Arkansas 91 70 92 71 / 20 20 20 10 
Stuttgart Arkansas 92 71 92 72 / 20 20 20 10 
&& 


Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...62 / long term...44