Civicane49's WunderBlog

Last Updated: 4:43 AM GMT on May 17, 2013 — Last Comment: 9:02 AM GMT on May 17, 2013

	Fabio continues to weaken over the Pacific

Posted by: Civicane49, 10:29 PM GMT on July 17, 2012

Fabio is weakening as it moves northward in unfavorable atmospheric conditions. As of the latest National Hurricane Center advisory, Fabio has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and minimum central pressure of 1004 mbar, making it a weak tropical storm. Recent satellite image shows that Fabio continues to produce little convection. The combination of cold sea surface temperatures, dry air, and increasing shear should continue to weaken Fabio. The cyclone will likely become a tropical depression later tonight, and become a remnant low in the next 12 to 18 hours. Fabio is expected to dissipate in the next 2 to 3 days. The system is anticipated to continue moving northward and later turn slightly north-northeastward; many models agree with this forecast. The remnants of Fabio might increase shower activity to portions of southern California by the next 24 hours or so.

Figure 1. Afternoon infrared satellite imagery of Tropical Storm Fabio. Image credit: RAMMB imagery Colorado State University (CSU).

Elsewhere
Aside from Fabio, there is an area of disturbed weather that is located about 775 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The development of this system is forecasted to be gradual. Global models are not forecasting significant development of this system. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

For the Atlantic basin, few models forecast possible tropical cyclone development from the trough split near the United States East Coast by the next five to eight days. However, I have some doubts that it will really form.

Civicane49

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1. pcola57 12:06 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Thanks for the blog Civicane49.. Maybe we will have something in the Atlantic to track soon. Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 3817

2. Civicane49 12:07 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Quoting pcola57: Thanks for the blog Civicane49.. Maybe we will have something in the Atlantic to track soon. We shall see. Thanks for stopping by. Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 60 Comments: 3881

3. Ameister12 12:10 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Thanks, Civicane. Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3517

4. MAweatherboy1 12:19 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Well done... We're running out of stuff to track! Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6362

5. Civicane49 12:26 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: Well done... We're running out of stuff to track! Yup! LOL Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 60 Comments: 3881

6. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:34 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Thanks C49. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25292

7. nigel20 2:35 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Thanks Civicane! Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

8. wxchaser97 3:37 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Thanks Civicane, we really need something to track pretty soon. Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 87 Comments: 6787

9. Civicane49 3:44 AM GMT on July 18, 2012
Quoting wxchaser97: Thanks Civicane, we really need something to track pretty soon. Yup. Thanks all for stopping by! Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 60 Comments: 3881

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