hcubed's WunderBlog

Last Updated: 12:36 PM GMT on June 05, 2013 — Last Comment: 12:36 PM GMT on June 05, 2013

	And we have Chris UPDATED

Posted by: hcubed, 1:31 PM GMT on June 20, 2012

Chris has been named, and is no threat to land.

LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS CHRIS TRAVERSES THE MARGINALLY WARM WATERS NEAR THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GULF STREAM. THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE OVER COLDER WATERS IN 36-48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE LOW STRENGTHENING AS A BAROCLINIC SYSTEM AT THAT TIME. THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA IN 3 TO 4 DAYS...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE NHC FORECAST.

ONLY TWICE BEFORE...IN 1887 AND 1959...HAS THE THIRD STORM OF THE SEASON FORMED EARLIER THAN THIS DATE.

I love that last line - shows that this early storm is not "unprecedented".

It's also no representation of us having a more active season. Several seasons have had early storms, and gone on to either have a gap between the next storm, or a low season count.

And, remember, the count goes on. This is the 2431st day since a Major hit the CONUS. Such a string of good luck is unprecidented, and surely has to be the result of CAGW (well, maybe we can drop the "catastrophic" part for now).

Now we'll look towards the mess around Cuba, and see if Levi's right about the SE Tex rain.

*UPDATED*

Chris becomes the season's first hurricane:

"...Hurricane Chris has managed to intensify and form an eye-like feature surrounded by intense thunderstorms with very cold tops, despite the fact the storm is over cool waters of 22°C. NHC puts Chris at hurricane strength with 75 mph winds making it the first hurricane of the 2012 hurricane season. Chris attained hurricane strength unusually far to the north (41.1°N) for a June storm; only Hurricane One of 1893 was a June hurricane at a more northernly point (44°N) than Chris..."

Still no threat to land.

We're now 3/1/0.

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About hcubed:

Living in Biloxi MS, have been here since '85 (first Hurricane was Elena).

My Local Weather:

Biloxi, Mississippi

83 °F

Partly Cloudy

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