Dr. Jeff Masters, October 29, 2014
Director of Meteorology, Weather Underground
An area of disturbed weather (95L) associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper level trough of low pressure is a few hundred miles northeast of the northern Lesser Antilles Islands, and has a modest amount of spin and heavy thunderstorm activity. Wind shear will remain a high 20 - 30 knots through Friday, then increase to 30 - 50 knots Saturday and Sunday. These high wind shear values make development conditions marginal through Friday, then almost impossible beginning on Saturday.
Dr. Ricky Rood, October 28, 2014
Professor, University of Michigan
El Niño, California Drought, and Predictions
Modified on 20141029
Back in May 2014, I wrote a couple of blogs about El Niño predictions for this year (Tracking El Niño and Underlying Models). In July, I did a summertime update. For those who need it, there are links to basic information such as definitions of terms in those blogs. This entry is an update.
As most of my readers already know, the excited, exaggerated springtime predictions have not come to fruition. The current prediction status, from the links below, is that there r...